Executive Briefing

Welcome · Presidency

Land Reform programme slipped milestone — 1.4M title-deed target at risk.

Today's focus

Land Reform programme slipped milestone — 1.4M title-deed target at risk

Live signal

Renewable IPP Round 7 ahead of plan · 5,200 MW added

On your radar

Cabinet sequencing memo due Friday

Why this matters · citizen

Whether 62 million South Africans see life improve over five years.

NDP 2030 outcome

NDP 2030 — eliminate poverty & reduce inequality

Impact metric

58% of NDP milestones on track · target 84% by FY2030

Debt-to-GDP

75.3%0.7%

FY2028 target 70%

Fiscal Deficit

4.2%0.3%

of GDP

Inflation (CPI)

4.6%

Target band 3-6%

Budget Utilisation

68.4%

of R2.4Tn envelope

Fiscal Trajectory FY2026 → FY2030

MTEF baseline + reform acceleration

Wage Bill Scenarios

FY2027 fiscal impact

Bear (3%)

R18bn

Base (4.7%)

R28bn

Bull (5.5%)

R34bn

Each 1pp on the wage bill consumes ~R12bn of MTEF headroom — equivalent to NSFAS funding for 2 years.

Office Structure · Teams & Sub-Teams

Presidency · Accounting Officer

Whole-of-Government

Principal

Director-General · Presidency

Accounting Officer

Deputies / Council

Deputy President

Leader of Government Business

Minister in the Presidency

Planning, M&E

Minister · Women, Youth & Persons with Disabilities

Cabinet

Branches / Sub-teams

Cabinet Office

28 portfolios coordinated

142 FTE

Policy & Research Services

NDP M&E owner

88 FTE

Intergovernmental Coordination

9 provinces · 257 munis

96 FTE

Private Office of the President

Diplomatic & state events

64 FTE

Corporate Management

Internal admin

210 FTE

Entities Reporting In

Brand SA

Nation brand index 47/100

GCIS

Citizen comms 24M reach

Statistics SA

GDP / CPI / QLFS publisher

NYDA

Youth opportunities R1.2bn

Branch Breakdown · Budget · Headcount · Delivery

Deep view of every branch within the office

Full breakdown

Branch	Budget (R bn)	FTE	Sub-teams	Delivery	Status
Cabinet Office DDG: Cabinet Operations	0.42	142	3	78%	on-track
Policy & Research Services DDG: Policy	0.31	88	3	84%	on-track
Intergovernmental Coordination DDG: IGR	0.28	96	3	61%	at-risk
Private Office of the President Chief of Staff	0.18	64	4	—	on-track
Corporate Management COO: Presidency	0.65	210	4	71%	on-track
Total · 5 branches	1.84	600	17

Risk Register

Top exposures · accountable owner · mitigation

District Development Model adoption stalled in 8 districts

high

Owner: DDG: IGR

→ Direct PCC intervention Q2; deploy task team.

Coalition fragility at metro level

critical

Owner: Deputy President

→ Bilateral engagement; mediation protocol.

NDP M&E data lag of 9 months on social outcomes

medium

Owner: DDG: Policy

→ Stats SA quarterly compact.

Cross-Office Dependencies

What this office relies on from others

Finance Minister

Fiscal envelope, MTEF discipline

Auditor-General

Audit signal across all portfolios

Premier (Gauteng)

Provincial delivery feedback loop

Communications & Digital

Smart Gov Gateway · single citizen view

Entity Scorecards

Public entities & SOEs reporting in

Brand SA

CEO Brand SA

Nation brand index 47/100

Budget: R0.21bn

GCIS

DG: GCIS

Citizen comms 24M reach

Budget: R0.78bn

Statistics SA

Statistician-General

GDP / CPI / QLFS publisher

Budget: R1.24bn

NYDA

CEO NYDA

Youth opportunities R1.2bn

Budget: R0.49bn

MTBPS Investor Narrative · draft

Auto-drafted by Treasury Analyst

"South Africa's fiscal framework is stabilising. Debt-to-GDP is projected to peak at 76.4% in FY2027 before declining to 70% by FY2030, supported by primary surpluses averaging 0.8% of GDP. SARS revenue performance of +R23bn versus the February estimate, combined with disciplined expenditure ceilings, opens R18bn of fiscal headroom — directed first to the social wage and then to debt reduction. The path back to investment grade rests on three pillars: FATF greylist exit, Eskom and Transnet operational stabilisation, and structural reforms in network industries."